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Red100
310245.1
565331.3
467424.8
Blue48
313431.0
25038.5
327727.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82450206010012014016010048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.2
38.038.2
Auto8.5
Teleop37.1
End-0.6
red by 14.1
31.01.4
31.930.5
Auto6.8
Teleop25.5
End-1.2
Second
31.30.2
28.829.0
Auto7.6
Teleop22.1
End2.0
red by 4.0
3277
#10
27.31.4
27.325.8
Auto4.0
Teleop24.2
End-0.8
Third
24.80.2
25.425.6
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End-1.4
red by 16.4
2503
#13
8.51.6
10.58.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed