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Red100
871728.4
300934.5
99130.7
Blue79
96826.6
691823.7
742323.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816820406010012014016010079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.9
28.531.4
Auto7.5
Teleop22.3
End4.7
red by 7.9
968
#24
26.60.6
27.628.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End7.3
Second
991
#15
30.71.7
25.427.1
Auto10.7
Teleop12.0
End8.0
red by 7.0
6918
#20
23.70.6
19.920.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.5
Third
8717
#21
28.42.9
20.223.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End7.2
red by 5.2
7423
#27
23.20.9
18.019.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned