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Red56
838721.7
504915.0
265823.6
Blue73
928725.6
707716.3
742418.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555930405070805673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2658
#31
23.60.3
22.923.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End6.8
blue by 2.0
9287
#22
25.61.4
20.221.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End7.7
Second
8387
#28
21.70.4
17.818.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.5
red by 3.7
7424
#38
18.00.9
20.020.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End4.0
Third
5049
#36
15.00.4
11.411.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End4.6
blue by 1.3
7077
#30
16.31.4
14.916.3
Auto8.4
Teleop1.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed