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Red101
802220.3
138840.7
806618.2
Blue119
59738.6
800531.2
900218.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698620406080100120101119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.72.3
33.836.1
Auto13.8
Teleop20.8
End6.1
red by 2.1
597
#7
38.61.1
32.533.6
Auto9.7
Teleop21.3
End7.6
Second
8022
#33
20.33.8
19.623.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End4.0
blue by 10.9
8005
#17
31.21.1
26.327.4
Auto6.3
Teleop18.1
End6.8
Third
8066
#42DQ
18.22.3
13.315.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End6.8
red by 0.1
9002
#23
18.21.8
19.821.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned