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Red132
265823.6
138840.7
742640.6
Blue96
592433.2
242933.1
427.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111972040608012014016018013296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.4
39.840.3
Auto13.8
Teleop20.8
End6.1
red by 7.5
33.20.1
33.133.2
Auto11.2
Teleop14.4
End7.6
Second
7426
#10
40.60.4
39.740.2
Auto12.6
Teleop22.0
End6.0
red by 7.5
2429
#11
33.10.1
33.033.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.7
Third
2658
#31
23.60.4
22.723.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End6.8
blue by 3.4
4
#16
27.00.1
27.027.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End5.9