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Red151
928725.6
35961.9
427054.9
Blue173
699546.4
98760.0
96826.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15314180100120180200151173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
61.90.0
61.961.9
Auto17.4
Teleop36.2
End8.4
red by 2.0
987
#3
60.00.3
60.160.5
Auto17.0
Teleop36.1
End6.8
Second
54.90.0
54.954.8
Auto9.5
Teleop36.1
End9.2
red by 8.5
46.40.3
46.646.9
Auto11.2
Teleop28.5
End6.7
Third
9287
#22
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End7.7
blue by 1.0
968
#24
26.60.3
26.827.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End7.3