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Red139
69457.5
87057.7
53330.1
Blue83
573647.8
32942.4
509917.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1581105010015020013983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#2
57.70.1
57.657.5
Auto14.7
Teleop32.5
End10.2
red by 9.9
47.80.6
48.347.7
Auto11.8
Teleop28.2
End7.7
Second
694
#1
57.50.1
57.557.4
Auto16.2
Teleop30.7
End10.3
red by 15.1
329
#4
42.40.6
42.942.3
Auto9.1
Teleop23.6
End9.8
Third
533
#35
30.10.1
30.130.0
Auto10.0
Teleop12.9
End6.9
red by 12.4
5099
#37
17.80.7
18.417.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.6