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Red134
753941.7
260139.8
35327.6
Blue124
52734.1
341936.1
263834.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710850100150200134124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.3
41.541.9
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End7.9
red by 5.6
36.10.6
35.536.1
Auto10.2
Teleop18.5
End7.4
Second
39.80.4
39.640.1
Auto11.0
Teleop20.1
End8.7
red by 5.7
527
#22
34.10.5
33.734.1
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End7.5
Third
353
#15
27.60.4
27.527.9
Auto9.6
Teleop13.2
End4.8
blue by 6.4
2638
#14
34.00.5
33.634.0
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End6.4