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Red117
301558.8
826725.6
696911.2
Blue63
749718.9
36931.1
565916.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9852015020011763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.80.5
45.946.4
Auto15.1
Teleop35.7
End8.0
red by 27.7
369
#20
31.10.9
16.317.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.2
End7.1
Second
8267
#16
25.60.6
21.321.9
Auto10.9
Teleop11.0
End3.7
red by 6.7
7497
#42
18.90.9
16.617.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End5.2
Third
6969
#45
11.20.6
19.119.7
Auto0.2
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 5.2
5659
#34
16.40.9
21.722.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed