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Red139
87053.9
54518.5
33336.9
Blue63
700419.6
775923.2
115530.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866405010015020013963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#2
53.95.2
40.245.4
Auto12.8
Teleop31.5
End9.6
red by 23.0
1155
#19
30.90.5
25.925.4
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End7.7
Second
333
#8
36.95.2
25.130.3
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.0
red by 13.6
7759
#23
23.20.5
21.220.7
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End4.9
Third
545
#30
18.55.2
12.217.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.6
blue by 1.1
7004
#25
19.60.5
15.515.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed