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Red74
49621.9
234719.5
81028.5
Blue34
659320.6
501616.6
696911.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744801001507434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#15
28.50.3
22.122.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End5.0
red by 7.9
6593
#33
20.62.2
12.710.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End6.8
Second
496
#26
21.90.3
20.420.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End4.3
red by 5.3
5016
#43
16.62.2
16.013.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End6.1
Third
2347
#24
19.50.3
23.824.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End4.9
red by 8.3
6969
#45
11.22.2
19.717.6
Auto0.2
Teleop6.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed