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Red65
565916.4
642316.3
445829.5
Blue55
52731.0
749718.9
56912.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676840506080901006555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#11
29.50.2
21.822.0
Auto10.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
blue by 1.5
527
#17
31.02.1
25.423.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End9.4
Second
5659
#34
16.40.2
22.722.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 2.5
7497
#42
18.92.1
17.515.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End5.2
Third
6423
#27
16.30.2
18.718.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End9.5
red by 4.2
569
#41
12.22.1
20.718.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed