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Red87
81028.5
32933.3
696911.2
Blue88
33423.6
395043.1
54518.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76620501001502008788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#21
33.31.9
29.631.6
Auto6.3
Teleop19.0
End8.0
blue by 9.8
43.13.1
30.934.0
Auto10.2
Teleop22.7
End10.2
Second
810
#15
28.51.9
22.424.3
Auto8.4
Teleop15.1
End5.0
red by 4.9
334
#28
23.63.1
11.915.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.8
End3.9
Third
6969
#45
11.21.9
17.619.5
Auto0.2
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 7.3
545
#30
18.53.1
17.420.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsMissed