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Red59
876011.1
49621.9
901623.9
Blue38
700419.6
749718.9
642316.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734902040601001201401605938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9016
#14
23.91.3
26.325.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.2
End4.8
red by 4.3
7004
#25
19.62.4
15.012.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End3.2
Second
496
#26
21.91.3
20.719.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End4.3
red by 3.0
7497
#42
18.92.4
15.413.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End5.2
Third
8760
#39
11.11.3
18.517.2
Auto1.3
Teleop5.1
End4.7
blue by 5.3
6423
#27
16.32.4
18.916.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed