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Red101
115530.9
33336.9
49621.9
Blue104
33423.6
445829.5
301558.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89103406080120140160180101104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#8
36.91.2
31.532.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.8
End8.0
blue by 21.9
58.80.6
52.953.5
Auto15.1
Teleop35.7
End8.0
Second
1155
#19
30.91.2
34.135.3
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End7.7
red by 1.4
4458
#11
29.51.0
23.224.2
Auto10.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Third
496
#26
21.91.2
19.720.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End4.3
blue by 1.7
334
#28
23.61.0
18.519.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed