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Qual 492023 FIRST Long Island Regional #1
Red100
287255.3
234719.5
749718.9
Blue131
36931.1
317144.5
775923.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8392204060100120140160100131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#1
55.31.8
44.1→45.9
Auto15.3
Teleop29.7
End10.2
red by 10.7
3171
#4
44.53.5
37.9→41.4
Auto12.8
Teleop23.4
End8.3
Second
2347
#24
19.51.8
19.7→21.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End4.9
blue by 11.6
369
#20
31.13.5
26.3→29.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.2
End7.1
Third
7497
#42
18.91.8
15.1→16.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End5.2
blue by 4.3
7759
#23
23.23.5
20.6→24.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned