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Red154
87053.9
287255.3
33423.6
Blue111
753934.0
573638.2
286920.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1439250200250154111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.3
53.854.1
Auto15.3
Teleop29.7
End10.2
red by 17.1
38.20.4
38.338.6
Auto8.6
Teleop21.9
End7.7
Second
870
#2
53.90.3
52.552.8
Auto12.8
Teleop31.5
End9.6
red by 20.0
34.00.4
34.034.4
Auto10.2
Teleop18.7
End5.1
Third
334
#28
23.60.3
22.222.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.8
End3.9
red by 2.9
2869
#36
20.70.4
20.821.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End4.3