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Red146
146842.5
287525.3
301558.8
Blue124
395043.1
317144.5
36931.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13312480100140160180200220146124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.80.3
57.958.2
Auto15.1
Teleop35.7
End8.0
red by 14.3
44.50.2
44.244.3
Auto12.8
Teleop23.4
End8.3
Second
42.50.3
41.441.8
Auto9.8
Teleop27.4
End5.2
blue by 0.6
43.10.2
42.742.9
Auto10.2
Teleop22.7
End10.2
Third
2875
#18
25.30.3
24.224.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End6.7
blue by 5.8
369
#20
31.10.2
30.730.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.2
End7.1