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Red113
33418.1
260156.9
35340.9
Blue120
69459.9
179655.8
512317.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11914950100200113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.1
56.756.7
Auto16.0
Teleop32.3
End8.6
blue by 2.9
694
#1
59.90.5
60.960.4
Auto15.6
Teleop34.5
End9.5
Second
353
#3
40.90.1
40.740.6
Auto11.7
Teleop20.8
End8.5
blue by 14.9
55.80.5
56.856.3
Auto13.3
Teleop33.5
End8.9
Third
334
#37
18.10.1
17.917.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End3.7
red by 0.2
5123
#14
17.90.6
18.517.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End5.3