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Red162
69459.9
179655.8
512317.9
Blue108
226521.4
341944.1
36943.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811150100200162108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
59.90.5
60.460.9
Auto15.6
Teleop34.5
End9.5
red by 15.8
44.10.1
44.244.1
Auto11.9
Teleop24.1
End8.1
Second
55.80.5
56.356.8
Auto13.3
Teleop33.5
End8.9
red by 12.6
369
#6
43.20.1
43.343.2
Auto8.1
Teleop25.3
End9.7
Third
5123
#14
17.90.6
17.918.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End5.3
blue by 3.5
2265
#36
21.40.1
21.521.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.4