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Red106
33347.8
395042.9
64014.4
Blue114
226521.4
341944.1
36943.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112117406080100140160180200106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#4
47.80.2
48.047.8
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End8.1
red by 3.7
44.10.1
44.444.2
Auto11.9
Teleop24.1
End8.1
Second
3950
#11
42.90.2
43.142.9
Auto10.8
Teleop25.1
End7.0
blue by 0.3
369
#6
43.20.1
43.443.3
Auto8.1
Teleop25.3
End9.7
Third
640
#40
14.40.2
14.614.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
blue by 7.0
2265
#36
21.40.1
21.621.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.4