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Qual 22023 New York City Regional
Red97
664818.2
691142.6
903022.9
Blue88
35340.9
873923.1
703623.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7471556065808590959788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#7
42.61.5
37.9→39.4
Auto16.4
Teleop17.3
End8.8
red by 1.7
353
#3
40.91.3
27.6→28.9
Auto11.7
Teleop20.8
End8.5
Second
9030
#24
22.93.2
22.5→19.3
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
blue by 0.5
7036
#38
23.41.7
16.6→18.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.7
End6.8
Third
6648
#34
18.21.9
14.3→16.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End3.3
blue by 4.9
8739
#30
23.11.0
23.1→24.2
Auto8.2
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned