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Red61
529822.7
286924.5
834615.6
Blue86
341944.1
815920.6
542123.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6578020401001201406186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#35
24.50.5
23.122.7
Auto6.9
Teleop11.4
End6.1
blue by 19.6
44.10.1
36.136.0
Auto11.9
Teleop24.1
End8.1
Second
5298
#47
22.70.6
23.022.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End6.4
blue by 0.7
5421
#31
23.40.1
17.317.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End4.0
Third
8346
#28
15.60.8
16.715.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End6.5
blue by 5.1
8159
#23
20.60.1
18.418.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.0
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed