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Red69
566531.9
815920.6
905218.6
Blue30
66369.8
74314.1
512317.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6442020801001206930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#13
31.90.9
24.425.3
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End7.0
red by 14.0
5123
#14
17.91.4
18.316.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End5.3
Second
8159
#23
20.60.8
17.918.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.0
End7.1
red by 6.6
743
#29
14.11.4
16.214.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End5.9
Third
9052
#20
18.61.3
15.416.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End5.8
red by 8.8
6636
#41
9.80.8
7.97.1
Auto0.1
Teleop4.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed