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Red105
69459.9
33512.2
771818.5
Blue79
664818.2
395042.9
30046.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957205015020010579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
59.91.3
56.357.6
Auto15.6
Teleop34.5
End9.5
red by 17.0
3950
#11
42.90.6
42.242.7
Auto10.8
Teleop25.1
End7.0
Second
7718
#21
18.51.3
15.316.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End7.2
red by 0.4
6648
#34
18.20.6
15.916.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End3.3
Third
335
#16
12.22.1
14.616.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End4.3
red by 5.8
3004
#43
6.40.9
12.713.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsMissed