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Red111
37609.5
179655.8
234430.3
Blue54
784015.5
115524.3
226521.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887205010015011154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.82.0
46.848.9
Auto13.3
Teleop33.5
End8.9
red by 31.5
1155
#39
24.31.3
30.929.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End5.2
Second
30.33.4
18.321.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End6.4
red by 8.9
2265
#36
21.41.3
18.917.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.4
Third
3760
#42
9.53.4
15.118.6
Auto2.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 6.0
7840
#49
15.51.5
19.718.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed