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Red87
36943.2
566531.9
160113.7
Blue31
773013.4
680625.9
771818.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797202003004005008731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#6
43.20.3
31.131.4
Auto8.1
Teleop25.3
End9.7
red by 17.3
6806
#27
25.92.8
30.327.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.3
End6.7
Second
5665
#13
31.90.4
25.125.5
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End7.0
red by 13.4
7718
#21
18.53.4
21.818.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End7.2
Third
1601
#17
13.70.4
16.817.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.8
red by 0.4
7730
#48
13.44.7
15.911.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed