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Red84
903022.9
395042.9
727219.5
Blue108
857032.7
341944.1
512317.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8978020406010012014016084108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#11
42.90.2
43.443.2
Auto10.8
Teleop25.1
End7.0
blue by 1.2
44.11.9
38.240.1
Auto11.9
Teleop24.1
End8.1
Second
9030
#24
22.90.3
19.319.0
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
blue by 9.8
8570
#12
32.73.1
23.426.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.7
End7.6
Third
7272
#19
19.50.3
19.118.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End5.0
red by 1.6
5123
#14
17.93.1
13.316.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned