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Red64
905218.6
542123.4
226521.4
Blue143
33347.8
69459.9
35425.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45153010020025064143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5421
#31
23.40.9
17.918.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End4.0
blue by 36.5
694
#1
59.90.5
60.661.1
Auto15.6
Teleop34.5
End9.5
Second
2265
#36
21.40.6
19.219.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.4
blue by 26.4
333
#4
47.80.5
44.745.2
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End8.1
Third
9052
#20
18.60.9
18.619.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End5.8
blue by 6.6
354
#18
25.20.8
24.925.7
Auto3.3
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned