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Red101
457124.2
341944.1
773013.4
Blue52
234430.3
766816.7
33512.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84600204010012014010152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.4
40.141.4
Auto11.9
Teleop24.1
End8.1
red by 13.8
30.30.8
28.727.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End6.4
Second
4571
#15
24.21.4
22.023.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End7.0
red by 7.5
7668
#44
16.70.8
17.917.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.0
End4.6
Third
7730
#48
13.42.1
13.615.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End2.8
red by 1.2
335
#16
12.20.8
13.112.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed