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Red100
286924.5
35340.9
857032.7
Blue8
160113.7
905218.6
688012.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964601501008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#3
40.90.4
36.536.9
Auto11.7
Teleop20.8
End8.5
red by 22.3
9052
#20
18.64.3
19.515.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.0
End5.8
Second
8570
#12
32.70.6
26.527.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.7
End7.6
red by 19.0
1601
#17
13.74.3
15.811.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Third
2869
#35
24.50.4
21.021.4
Auto6.9
Teleop11.4
End6.1
red by 12.5
6880
#33
12.04.3
14.29.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed