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Red52
664818.2
188014.9
401220.3
Blue53
512317.9
903022.9
35425.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586601001502002503005253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4012
#26
20.30.8
20.920.1
Auto2.0
Teleop12.5
End5.8
blue by 4.9
354
#18
25.20.8
25.724.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Second
6648
#34
18.20.6
17.817.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End3.3
blue by 4.7
9030
#24
22.90.8
19.018.2
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Third
1880
#22
14.90.6
16.716.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 3.0
5123
#14
17.90.8
16.515.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed