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Red120
33347.8
395042.9
64014.4
Blue93
771818.5
691142.6
35425.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158840608010014016018012093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#4
47.80.3
47.648.0
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End8.1
red by 5.2
42.60.2
42.442.6
Auto16.4
Teleop17.3
End8.8
Second
3950
#11
42.90.3
42.743.1
Auto10.8
Teleop25.1
End7.0
red by 17.6
354
#18
25.20.2
25.125.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Third
640
#40
14.40.4
14.214.6
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End7.2
blue by 4.1
7718
#21
18.50.2
18.418.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End7.2