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Red170
36943.2
341944.1
226521.4
Blue107
457124.2
566531.9
301727.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11983204060100140160180170107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.7
43.644.4
Auto11.9
Teleop24.1
End8.1
red by 12.2
5665
#13
31.90.6
31.431.9
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End7.0
Second
369
#6
43.20.7
42.743.4
Auto8.1
Teleop25.3
End9.7
red by 15.5
3017
#10
27.70.7
27.027.7
Auto5.9
Teleop14.7
End7.1
Third
2265
#36
21.40.7
20.921.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.4
blue by 2.8
4571
#15
24.20.6
23.624.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End7.0