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Red115
279142.4
355034.1
318123.9
Blue76
57818.6
300330.9
42430.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101725015011576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.42.7
31.434.0
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
red by 11.5
3003
#26
30.90.6
24.024.6
Auto11.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
Second
3550
#10
34.12.7
32.034.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.8
End6.8
red by 3.3
424
#25
30.80.6
25.125.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.8
End6.8
Third
3181
#22
23.92.7
27.830.5
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End5.9
red by 5.2
578
#43
18.60.6
21.822.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed