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Red96
2040.5
27122.1
379918.5
Blue109
140533.4
662120.4
155937.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817320406010012014096109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#8
40.51.8
33.635.4
Auto12.8
Teleop18.9
End8.8
red by 3.1
1559
#15
37.33.3
24.227.4
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Second
271
#28
22.11.8
19.421.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End5.1
blue by 11.3
33.43.3
24.928.1
Auto9.2
Teleop16.3
End8.0
Third
3799
#49
18.51.8
22.023.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End4.0
blue by 1.9
6621
#33
20.43.3
20.623.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned