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Red69
379918.5
552821.7
300330.9
Blue72
686832.2
399040.7
630013.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6670204060801001206972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#26
30.90.7
24.525.2
Auto11.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
blue by 9.8
40.70.2
27.227.3
Auto13.5
Teleop19.2
End8.0
Second
5528
#46
21.70.7
20.220.9
Auto8.2
Teleop6.3
End7.2
blue by 10.4
6868
#16
32.20.2
18.819.0
Auto8.0
Teleop19.6
End4.6
Third
3799
#49
18.50.7
18.018.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End4.0
red by 5.1
6300
#53
13.40.2
19.419.6
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed