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Red96
42430.8
415026.6
839330.6
Blue98
2040.5
151119.4
222831.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80100501509698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#25
30.81.5
26.227.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.8
End6.8
blue by 9.6
20
#8
40.50.8
39.340.1
Auto12.8
Teleop18.9
End8.8
Second
8393
#29
30.61.5
29.931.4
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End6.0
blue by 0.7
2228
#19
31.20.8
28.829.6
Auto10.4
Teleop15.0
End5.8
Third
4150
#32
26.61.5
21.322.8
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End6.9
red by 7.1
1511
#24
19.40.8
22.823.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned