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Red67
317338.3
158510.3
19121.6
Blue105
149340.8
763632.2
559021.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666940608010067105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
28.928.7
Auto12.3
Teleop18.0
End8.1
blue by 2.5
1493
#14
40.84.3
25.830.2
Auto14.1
Teleop16.4
End10.3
Second
191
#40
21.60.4
20.520.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End7.0
blue by 10.6
7636
#13
32.24.3
17.822.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Third
1585
#50
10.30.4
16.215.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End5.5
blue by 11.2
5590
#34
21.44.3
17.321.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed