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Red119
355034.1
399040.7
763632.2
Blue137
155937.3
402739.1
686832.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11195406080120140160180119137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.9
39.541.4
Auto13.5
Teleop19.2
End8.0
red by 1.6
39.14.0
35.139.1
Auto13.1
Teleop19.4
End6.6
Second
3550
#10
34.11.9
34.636.5
Auto11.5
Teleop15.8
End6.8
blue by 3.2
1559
#15
37.34.0
27.431.4
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Third
7636
#13
32.21.9
28.129.9
Auto6.5
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Level
6868
#16
32.24.0
28.632.6
Auto8.0
Teleop19.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned