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Red78
574026.7
790318.6
42430.8
Blue84
25029.7
552821.7
27122.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737240506080901007884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#25
30.80.6
25.726.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.8
End6.8
red by 1.1
250
#21
29.71.7
27.829.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End6.3
Second
5740
#23
26.70.6
23.323.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End8.8
red by 4.6
271
#28
22.11.7
21.122.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Third
7903
#41
18.60.6
19.019.6
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End6.3
blue by 3.2
5528
#46
21.71.7
19.621.3
Auto8.2
Teleop6.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned