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Red52
151119.4
63922.4
217221.2
Blue75
151815.4
19121.6
150739.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758040506070901001105275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#47
22.42.6
22.720.1
Auto7.6
Teleop8.1
End6.7
blue by 16.9
39.30.5
38.437.9
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End7.8
Second
2172
#35
21.22.6
24.321.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End4.5
blue by 0.4
191
#40
21.60.5
20.319.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End7.0
Third
1511
#24
19.42.6
23.621.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End7.7
red by 4.0
1518
#52
15.40.5
16.015.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned