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Red152
300330.9
159146.3
301547.7
Blue122
155937.3
317338.3
574026.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110150150200152122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.8
45.746.6
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End8.0
red by 9.4
38.30.4
37.337.7
Auto12.3
Teleop18.0
End8.1
Second
46.30.8
44.445.2
Auto15.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
red by 9.0
1559
#15
37.30.5
36.136.6
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End5.8
Third
3003
#26
30.90.8
28.929.7
Auto11.5
Teleop12.0
End7.3
red by 4.2
5740
#23
26.70.5
25.425.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End8.8