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Red128
25029.7
150739.3
34039.0
Blue102
336026.2
399040.7
355034.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171066080140160180128102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.6
39.540.0
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End7.8
blue by 1.4
40.70.0
40.640.7
Auto13.5
Teleop19.2
End8.0
Second
340
#18
39.00.6
39.239.8
Auto9.9
Teleop21.6
End7.5
red by 4.9
3550
#10
34.10.0
34.034.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.8
End6.8
Third
250
#21
29.70.6
29.930.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End6.3
red by 3.5
3360
#31
26.20.0
26.126.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.3
End6.1