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Red148
27122.1
149340.8
402739.1
Blue126
2040.5
279142.4
222831.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061236080100140160148126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1493
#14
40.80.2
40.640.8
Auto14.1
Teleop16.4
End10.3
blue by 1.6
42.40.2
42.142.4
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
Second
39.10.2
38.939.1
Auto13.1
Teleop19.4
End6.6
blue by 1.4
20
#8
40.50.2
40.240.5
Auto12.8
Teleop18.9
End8.8
Third
271
#28
22.10.2
21.922.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End5.1
blue by 9.1
2228
#19
31.20.2
31.031.2
Auto10.4
Teleop15.0
End5.8