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Red144
300334.7
999638.8
159158.6
Blue128
403958.4
999328.8
151132.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361236080100160180200144128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#11
58.60.4
57.557.8
Auto15.3
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 0.2
58.40.2
58.358.5
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Second
38.80.6
36.837.4
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End7.8
red by 6.2
1511
#32
32.50.2
32.532.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End6.1
Third
3003
#31
34.70.4
33.633.9
Auto8.5
Teleop17.7
End8.4
red by 5.9
28.80.3
28.729.0
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.2