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Red172
151132.5
999328.8
403958.4
Blue114
493030.3
540656.1
574036.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191320200300400500172114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.41.0
57.358.3
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 2.3
56.10.2
56.356.1
Auto15.5
Teleop31.0
End9.0
Second
1511
#32
32.51.0
31.432.5
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End6.1
blue by 4.2
36.80.2
37.036.8
Auto9.7
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Third
28.81.7
27.028.7
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.2
blue by 1.5
4930
#21
30.30.2
30.530.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.7
End6.6