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Red120
112619.3
540656.1
574036.8
Blue80
205332.6
57833.3
37828.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211005015020012080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.2
56.256.3
Auto15.5
Teleop31.0
End9.0
red by 22.8
578
#8
33.30.5
33.833.3
Auto7.3
Teleop18.1
End7.9
Second
36.80.2
36.837.0
Auto9.7
Teleop21.3
End5.9
red by 4.2
32.60.5
33.132.6
Auto11.3
Teleop15.5
End5.9
Third
1126
#23
19.30.2
19.119.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End7.8
blue by 9.3
378
#17
28.60.5
29.128.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End6.6