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Red130
151132.5
999328.8
403958.4
Blue143
159158.6
999638.8
300334.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118135050100200250300350130143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.1
57.257.3
Auto13.3
Teleop35.2
End8.8
blue by 0.2
1591
#11
58.60.4
57.157.5
Auto15.3
Teleop33.9
End8.1
Second
1511
#32
32.50.1
31.331.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End6.1
blue by 6.2
38.80.6
36.236.8
Auto9.5
Teleop21.9
End7.8
Third
28.80.2
26.827.0
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.2
blue by 5.9
3003
#31
34.70.4
33.233.6
Auto8.5
Teleop17.7
End8.4