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Red89
151132.5
37828.6
34032.8
Blue97
205332.6
150736.8
493030.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110118501001508997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#26
32.81.0
40.939.9
Auto6.7
Teleop19.1
End7.1
blue by 4.0
1507
#18
36.80.9
45.344.5
Auto15.0
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Second
1511
#32
32.51.0
33.432.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End6.1
Level
32.60.9
34.333.5
Auto11.3
Teleop15.5
End5.9
Third
378
#17
28.61.0
29.628.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.6
End6.6
blue by 1.7
4930
#21
30.30.9
30.329.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned